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Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review

机译:模拟人类行为对传染病传播的影响:综述

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摘要

Human behaviour plays an important role in the spread of infectious diseases, and understanding the influence of behaviour on the spread of diseases can be key to improving control efforts. While behavioural responses to the spread of a disease have often been reported anecdotally, there has been relatively little systematic investigation into how behavioural changes can affect disease dynamics. Mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases are an important tool for investigating and quantifying such effects, not least because the spread of a disease among humans is not amenable to direct experimental study. Here, we review recent efforts to incorporate human behaviour into disease models, and propose that such models can be broadly classified according to the type and source of information which individuals are assumed to base their behaviour on, and according to the assumed effects of such behaviour. We highlight recent advances as well as gaps in our understanding of the interplay between infectious disease dynamics and human behaviour, and suggest what kind of data taking efforts would be helpful in filling these gaps.
机译:人类行为在传染病的传播中起着重要作用,而了解行为对疾病传播的影响可能是改善控制工作的关键。尽管经常有关于疾病传播的行为反应的报道,但是关于行为变化如何影响疾病动态的系统研究却相对较少。传染病传播的数学模型是研究和量化这种影响的重要工具,这不仅是因为人类之间疾病的传播不适合直接进行实验研究。在这里,我们回顾了将人类行为纳入疾病模型的最新努力,并提出可以根据假定个体基于其行为的信息类型和信息来源,以及根据这种行为的假定效果,对此类模型进行大致分类。 。我们重点介绍了最新的进展以及我们对传染病动态与人类行为之间相互作用的理解的空白,并建议采取哪些类型的数据来帮助弥补这些空白。

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