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Risk factors for predicting early variceal rebleeding after endoscopic variceal ligation

机译:内镜下静脉曲张结扎术后预测早期静脉曲张再出血的危险因素

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摘要

AIM: To analyze the clinical risk factors for early variceal rebleeding after endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL).METHODS: 342 cirrhotic patients with esophageal varices who received elective EVL to prevent bleeding or rebleeding at our endoscopy center between January 2005 and July 2010. were included in this study. The early rebleeding cases after EVL were confirmed by clinical signs or endoscopy. A case-control study was performed comparing the patients presenting with early rebleeding with those without this complication.RESULTS: The incidence of early rebleeding after EVL was 7.60%, and the morbidity of rebleeding was 26.9%. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that four variables were independent risk factors for early rebleeding: moderate to excessive ascites [odds ratio (OR) 62.83, 95% CI: 9.39-420.56, P < 0.001], the number of bands placed (OR 17.36, 95% CI: 4.00-75.34, P < 0.001), the extent of varices (OR 15.41, 95% CI: 2.84-83.52, P = 0.002) and prothrombin time (PT) > 18 s (OR 11.35, 95% CI: 1.93-66.70, P = 0.007).CONCLUSION: The early rebleeding rate after EVL is mainly affected by the volume of ascites, number of rubber bands used to ligate, severity of varices and prolonged PT. Effective measures for prevention and treatment should be adopted before and after EVL.
机译:目的:分析内镜下静脉曲张结扎术(EVL)后早期静脉曲张再出血的临床危险因素。方法:纳入2005年1月至2010年7月期间在我院内镜中心接受择期EVL预防出血或再出血的342例肝硬化食管静脉曲张患者。在这个研究中。通过临床体征或内窥镜检查证实了EVL后的早期再出血病例。进行病例对照研究,将出现早期再出血的患者与没有此并发症的患者进行比较。结果:EVL后早期再出血的发生率为7.60%,再出血的发生率为26.9%。逐步多因素logistic回归分析显示,有四个变量是早期再出血的独立危险因素:中度至过度腹水[比值比(OR)62.83,95%CI:9.39-420.56,P <0.001],条带数目(OR 17.36) ,95%CI:4.00-75.34,P <0.001),静脉曲张程度(OR 15.41,95%CI:2.84-83.52,P = 0.002)和凝血酶原时间(PT)> 18 s(OR 11.35,95%CI :1.93-66.70,P = 0.007)。结论:EVL后的早期再出血率主要受腹水量,结扎橡皮筋数量,静脉曲张严重程度和PT延长的影响。在EVL前后应采取有效的预防和治疗措施。

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