【2h】

Framing effects and risky decisions in starlings

机译:八哥的成帧效应和冒险决策

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摘要

Animals are predominantly risk prone toward reward delays and risk averse toward reward amounts. Humans in turn tend to be risk-seeking for losses and risk averse for gains. To explain the human results, Prospect Theory postulates a convex utility for losses and concave utility for gains. In contrast, Scalar Utility Theory (SUT) explains the animal data by postulating that the cognitive representation of outcomes follows Weber's Law, namely that the spread of the distribution of expected outcomes is proportional to its mean. SUT also would explain human results if utility (even if it is linear on expected outcome) followed Weber's Law. We present an experiment that simulates losses and gains in a bird, the European Starling, to test the implication of SUT that risk proneness/aversion should extend to any aversive/desirable dimension other than time and amount of reward. Losses and gains were simulated by offering choices of fixed vs. variable outcomes with lower or higher outcomes than what the birds expected. The subjects were significantly more risk prone for losses than for gains but, against expectations, they were not significantly risk averse toward gains. The results are thus, in part, consistent with Prospect Theory and SUT and show that risk attitude in humans and birds may obey a common fundamental principle.
机译:动物主要容易受到奖励延误的风险,而对奖励金额却不愿承担风险。反过来,人类倾向于为损失寻求风险,为获得收益而厌恶风险。为了解释人为的结果,前景理论假定损失的凸效用和收益的凹效用。相反,标量效用理论(SUT)通过假设结果的认知表示遵循韦伯定律来解释动物数据,即预期结果的分布范围与其平均值成正比。如果效用(即使它与预期结果成线性关系)遵循韦伯定律,那么SUT也可以解释人为结果。我们提出了一个模拟鸟(欧洲Star鸟)中的损失和收益的实验,以测试SUT的含义,即风险倾向/厌恶应扩展到任何厌恶/期望的维度,而不是时间和奖励金额。通过提供固定或可变结果的选择来模拟损失和收益,结果要比鸟类预期的结果低或高。与损失相比,受试者更容易遭受损失的风险大于收益,但与预期相反,他们对收益却没有明显的厌恶风险。因此,结果在某种程度上与预期理论和SUT一致,表明人与鸟之间的风险态度可能遵循共同的基本原则。

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