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The Dynamical Behaviors in a Stochastic SIS Epidemic Model with Nonlinear Incidence

机译:具有非线性事件的随机SIS流行病模型的动力学行为

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摘要

A stochastic SIS-type epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence and disease-induced mortality is investigated. It is proved that the dynamical behaviors of the model are determined by a certain threshold value R~0. That is, when R~0<1 and together with an additional condition, the disease is extinct with probability one, and when R~0>1, the disease is permanent in the mean in probability, and when there is not disease-related death, the disease oscillates stochastically about a positive number. Furthermore, when R~0>1, the model admits positive recurrence and a unique stationary distribution. Particularly, the effects of the intensities of stochastic perturbation for the dynamical behaviors of the model are discussed in detail, and the dynamical behaviors for the stochastic SIS epidemic model with standard incidence are established. Finally, the numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the proposed open problems.
机译:研究了具有一般非线性发生率和疾病致死率的随机SIS型传染病模型。证明了该模型的动态行为由某个阈值确定。 R < mrow> 0 。也就是说,当 R 0 < / mrow> / mo> 1 以及其他疾病,该疾病以一种可能性灭绝,而当<数学xmlns:mml =“ http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML” id =“ M3” overflow =“ scroll”> R 0 1 ,该疾病的平均概率是永久性的,并且在没有与疾病相关的死亡时,该疾病随机波动大约为正数。此外,当 R 0 1 ,该模型允许出现正向递归和唯一的平稳分布。特别地,详细讨论了随机扰动强度对模型动力学行为的影响,并建立了具有标准发病率的随机SIS流行病模型的动力学行为。最后,通过数值模拟来说明所提出的开放问题。

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