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Tobacco excise and declining tobacco consumption: the case of Papua New Guinea.

机译:烟草消费税和烟草消费下降:巴布亚新几内亚为例。

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摘要

Excise elasticities of demand for non-cigarette tobacco and cigarettes were calculated for Papua New Guinea for the 14 years 1973-86. Respectively, these were -0.50 and -0.71. This means that 10 percent increases in cigarette and non-cigarette tobacco excise are associated with an estimated 7.1 percent fall in demand for cigarettes and a 5 percent decrease in the demand for tobacco. As tax (excise) elasticities would normally be significantly smaller than price elasticities, these results imply that the consumption of cigarettes and tobacco in Papua New Guinea are more responsive to prices than in the United States and other Western countries. The level of excise is therefore an important and practical instrument for the control of consumption. These elasticities appear to be the first reported for a developing country. It is suggested that if they are indicative of consumer behavior in lower income countries then increasing tobacco and cigarette excise should be considered as an important strategy for the control of smoking in these countries which, because of their large populations, are huge markets for tobacco products and thus major targets for tobacco control measures.
机译:计算了巴布亚新几内亚1973-86年14年间非卷烟和卷烟需求的确切弹性。它们分别是-0.50和-0.71。这意味着卷烟和非卷烟消费税增加10%与卷烟需求估计下降7.1%和卷烟需求下降5%有关。由于税收(消费税)弹性通常会大大小于价格弹性,因此这些结果表明,巴布亚新几内亚的卷烟和烟草消费对价格的反应比美国和其他西方国家的反应更为迅速。因此,消费税是控制消费的重要而实用的工具。这些弹性似乎是发展中国家首次报道的。建议如果这些指标表明低收入国家的消费者行为,那么应考虑增加烟草和香烟消费税作为这些国家控制吸烟的重要战略,因为这些国家人口众多,因此是烟草产品的巨大市场因此是控烟措施的主要目标。

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