唐山市高等职业教育与区域产业的协调发展

摘要

This paper analyzes the coordination and matching of internal structure between specialty setting, enrollment and regional industry in Tangshan. Based on the theoretical analysis and the data from 2004 to 2013, the influence of the higher vocational education affecting on regional industry development in Tangshan are respectively analyzed with the method of co-integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test. The research findings indicated that, in Tangshan city, there is a co-integrated relationship between the higher vocational education and the industry development; the short-term promotion effect of higher vocational education scale is not significant to the industrial restructuring; and the higher vocational education scale does Granger cause the industrial restructuring.%基于唐山市高等职业教育专业设置、实际招生录取人数与区域产业的协同性以及与产业内部结构的匹配度方面的数据，运用EG协整检验方法证明唐山市高等职业教育和区域产业发展存在长期均衡关系，并通过建立误差修正模型发现高职教育规模的变动对区域产业结构调整的短期促进效用并不显著。通过格兰杰因果检验结果，表明唐山市高等职业教育是区域产业发展的格兰杰原因。