我国房地产投资的关联因素探究——基于VAR模型的研究

摘要

房地产行业对国民经济的发展具有显著拉动作用，尤其是对生产领域的拉动作用明显。在我国房地产领域大规模、高速度发展的背景下，对生产领域各行业及其关联性的分析研究显得尤为重要。建立向量自回归（VARY）模型并使用脉冲响应函数和方差分解进行分析，试图研究房地产投资情况与采矿业、建筑业、制造业、煤炭开采及洗选业投资情况的变动关系，为我国生产领域的发展现状给予合理的解释。%The real estate industry has significant pull function on the development of national economy. Especially for the industries of the production field. Under the background of the large -scale, high speed development of China's real estate field, the analysis of the production field and its relevance to China's real estate field is particularly important. This paper establishes vector auto -regressive (VAR) model and use impulse response function and variance decomposition for analysis, try to research when our country's real estate industry is in the sustained and rapid development period, investment situation changes relation among the real estate investment and mining, construction, manufacturing, coal mining and washing industry. In order to give the reasonable explanation of our current situation of the development for the production field.