基于任务的潜用导弹武器系统保障性仿真评价

摘要

The defects existed in the traditional research of supportability were analyzed,some new evaluation indexes,including operational availability,operational readiness,mission completion success probability,were advanced,and the simulation model was established based on mission.Taking the operational mission,the structure and maintenance process as the foundation,a kind of simulating principle of missile weapon system was set up based on mission by using the theory of Monte-Carlo,Discrete Event and so on.The maintenance support simulation experiment was analyzed by an example.The evaluative parameters of mission capability on duty and support capabilities were acquired 、 Results of its application show that the method is feasible,can offer the decision for useful department and managing department.%分析传统保障性评价存在的缺陷,提出基于任务的使用可用度、战备完好率及任务成功率3个评价指标,建立相应的仿真统计模型.以使用任务、系统结构、维修保障过程分析为基础,引用离散事件、蒙特卡洛等理论建立一种基于任务的保障性评价仿真原理.通过一个实例对导弹武器系统的维修保障仿真试验进行分析,得出了导弹武器系统的执行任务能力和保障能力评价参数.仿真表明该方法是可行的,可为使用、维修保障部门评价装备的任务成功性和战备完好性等提供理论依据和方法支持.