选取京津冀经济圈为研究对象,估计全国1998-2015年高技术产业面板数据,在此基础上建立京津冀时间序列的VAR模型.研究结果表明:(1)全国高技术产业有效发明专利与产业发展间存在长期均衡关系,产业有效发明专利确实能带动产业发展;(2)R&D活动内部经费支出对全国高技术产业发展作用最明显,而R&D活动人员全时当量对产业发展具有不显著的负影响;(3)京津冀高技术产业有效发明专利和产业发展之间存在双向互动关系.%The paper selects the economic circle which contains Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei as the object.Firstly estimate the national panel data from1998 to 2015.on the basis of the test,set an time series VAR model.The results shows that:(1)It has a long equilibrium relationship between the effective patents for invention and the development of high-tech industry,which means that the effective patents for invention do drive the development of industry for the national range;(2)The main factor which influence the high-tech industry is the internal spending on R&D activities,while the Personnel of full-time equivalent R&D activities plays a negative role and it doesn't seem obviously;(3)It has a Two-way interactive relationship between the effective patents for invention and the high-tech industry in the range of "Jing-Jin-Ji" area.
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