迎接服务经济时代“窗口期”：指标预测与对策思路

摘要

China's service industry keeps vigorous.It is forecasted that the added value,employment and fixed asset investment ratio of China's service industry will reach 58.80%、47.70% and 54.36% respectively by 2020,and the dominant status of service industry will be consolidated.Besides,service industry is expected to step up to a new stage. Foreign capital use of service industry may reach 87.2 billion dollars and service trade may exceed 1100 billion dollars.All these data indicate that China's economic structure is facing important transformation and China will meet the “Window Period”of service era.The 13th Five-Year plan period is important for China's service industry to realize its leaping development.China should strike a balance between market and government,and contribute to the rapid development of service industry through encouraging service innovation,promoting integration,guiding spatial agglomeration,cultivating market entity and conducting open strategy positively and orderly.%“十二五”时期以来，中国服务业呈现出蓬勃向上的发展态势。预计到2020年，中国服务业增加值占GDP比重、劳动就业占比和固定资产投资比重将分别达到58．8％、47．7％和54．4％，服务业主导地位将进一步巩固；服务业开放有望迈出新步伐，再上一个新台阶，服务业利用外资规模可能达到872亿美元，服务贸易有望突破11000亿美元。这些数据意味着中国经济结构正面临着重要的转型，很可能迎来服务经济时代的“窗口期”。“十三五”时期是中国服务业跨越发展的重要机遇期，要充分发挥市场和政府的双重作用，采取激励服务创新、推进跨界融合、引导空间集聚，培育市场主体、积极有序开放的对策思路，引领中国服务业大发展。