“刘易斯拐点”的中国现实判断

摘要

文章对中国是否进入＂刘易斯拐点＂进行了探讨,认为现阶段中国农村劳动力转移已进入关键时期,转型期中国农村劳动力转移呈现出更为复杂的特点,但不符合刘易斯二元经济理论的基本条件。要实现劳动力有序有效转移,应进一步完善农村劳动力政策：公共财政支持建立农村青年技能培训和转移就业综合服务体系;加快城市化进程促进更多农村剩余劳动力有效转移;逐步构建城乡统一、全国一致的基础性社会保障制度;率先推动实现区域内城乡居民间基本公共服务同质同价;实现农村劳动力从农村劳动者向工业劳动者的真正转变。%The transfer of rural labor in China is quite complicated in transformation period and does not satisfy the basic conditions of Lewis dual economy theory. The transfer of rural labor has entered key period at present. Rural labor policy shall be further improved to transfer labor force effectively and in sequence： public finance support shah be given to establish to comprehesive service system of training and transfer employment; accelerate urbanization to promote the effective transfer of more rural surplus labor force; gradually establish rural-urban and national unified basic social guarantee system and promote and realize the same quality and value of basic public service of rural and urban residents within the region, and realize the real transformation of rural labor force to industrial labor force.