深圳市城市轨道交通网络化客流变化研究

摘要

以国内几大城市的轨道交通客流变化为出发点，得出网络化客流发展规律。据此分析深圳市轨道交通网络化进程及其客流变化规律，并归纳出影响客流变化的3个主要因素：新线路对客流的吸引、线路间换乘和票价，为其他城市轨道交通网络化过程中的线网规划、客流预测、运营管理等工作提供参考依据。%The paper analyzes the Shenzhen urban rail transit network development process and passenger flow change pattern, and sums up three main fhctors affecting passenger flow change: new lines attracting passenger flow, transfer between lines and the fares. It provides a reference for other urban rail transit networking development process in term of network planning, traffic forecasting, operational management.