舰炮武器系统对导弹目标毁伤概率的数字仿真

摘要

Taking antimissile shipbome gun weapon system as a prototype, based on the operational process of this weapon system, and by using dynamic accuracy test data of naval gun tracing real object,a mathematical model of dynamic accuracy test calculating kill probability is constructed to simulate kill probability of shipborne gun system by directly hitting against missile targets, which realizes this simulation calculation. The simulation result is similar to that of actual effect of firing. Results show that the way of the simulation can carry out dynamic accuracy calculating kill probability and provide basis for decision making for the scheme of firing tests and supply reference for fire efficiency' s evaluation and effectiveness assessment of shipborne gun weapon system.%以某型反导舰炮武器系统为原型,通过分析舰炮武器系统反导作战过程,利用靶场舰炮武器系统的动态精度试验数据,建立了动态精度计算毁伤概率的数学模型,模拟了舰炮武器系统对导弹目标着发射击的毁伤概率,实现了毁伤概率的仿真计算,仿真结果与实弹射击结果接近.结果表明,应用这种方法,可以实现动态精度预估毁伤概率,为射击试验方案制定提供决策依据,也可以为舰炮武器系统射击效力的鉴定和效能评估提供参考.