矿区可持续发展动态评价方法研究

摘要

Based on the actual development of China's mining background and relevant research results at home and abroad, the paper discusses a number of complex issues in the sustainable development in mining areas. The mining system consists of five sub-systems including resources, environment, economy, population and the technology, and the complex relationship of positive feedback and negative feedback exist in each sub-system and the internal elements of sub-system.Then, the simulation model of the complex system and the assisted prediction model for mining area are established, which proposes a new method for dynamic evaluation of sustainable development in mining area.%依据我国矿区发展的实际背景和国内外的相关研究成果,对矿区可持续发展中的若干复杂问题进行深入研究和探讨.矿区系统由资源、环境、经济、人口和科技5个子系统组成,各子系统之间及系统内部要素之间存在着复杂的正反馈和负反馈关系.建立了矿区复杂系统仿真模型及其辅助预测模型,提出了矿区可持续发展动态评价的新方法.