我国医疗价格指数预警机制研究

摘要

Based on price early warning theory,we construct the early warning mechanism thoughts of medical price.We research the relationship between medical price index and macroeconomic indicators,and establish the warning interval and warning degree of the medical price index according to the ADF unit root test and co-integration test.The warning interval upper limit of MPCI is e[L02InCpI(1+i)-0.07] and the lower bounds of MCPI is e[0.96nGDP(1+j)+0.256].Higher than the upper limit or below the lower limit means that the medical price index is too high or too low and needs timely regulation.%基于价格预警理论,构建医疗价格预警机制思路.用ADF单位根检验、协整检验研究医疗价格指数与宏观经济指标的关系,确立医疗价格指数(MCPI)的预警区间及警度,MPCI预警上限为e[1.02I“CPI(1+i)-0.07],下限为e[0.961nGDP(1+j)+0.256],高于上限或低于下限则表示医疗服务价格指数过高或过低,需及时进行调控.