云南省物流发展与国际旅游关系的实证研究

摘要

选择货物周转量来反映云南省物流发展的状况,对1991-2011年的有关数据变量进行协整检验,运用EG两步法分别建立了国际旅游人数与货物运输量、旅游外汇收入与货物周转量之间的误差修正模型,结果表明,他们之间存在着长期的均衡关系,揭示了物流发展对于云南旅国际旅游业的重要意义.%In this paper,we selected cargo turnover to reflect the condition of logistics development in China,had a co-integration test on the relevant data and parameters between the years 1991 and 2011,used the EG two-step method to establish the error-correction model between quantity of international tourists and cargo turnover and between foreign exchange revenue and cargo turnover which indicated that there existed long-term equilibrium between them and that logistics development had great significance for the international tourism industry of Yunnan.