EG两步法下海南省物流发展与国际旅游关系实证研究

摘要

利用货物周转量对海南省的物流发展状况进行分析，对1993-2013年的相关数据进行协整检验，通过EG两步分析法构建了国际旅游人数与货物运输量、旅游的外汇收入与货物周转量之间的误差修正模型，结果说明，变量之间存在着必然的均衡关系，说明物流产业对于海南省国际旅游业的发展有着积极作用。%In this paper, we analyzed the current status of the development of the logistics industry in Hainan with cargo turnover as the index, performed a co-integration test on the relevant data of 1993 to 2013, built the error correction model of the relations between the number of international tourists and freight transportation volume, foreign exchange income from the tourism industry and cargo turnover, and at the end, identified the positive effect of the logistics industry on the development of the international tourism industry of Hainan.