东北地区物流与经济增长协调性研究

摘要

In this paper, using the coordination model, we calculated the degree of coordination between the logistics industry and economic growth of the three provinces in the Chinese northeastern region, then in view of the finding, discussed the co-integrated relationship between the freight transportation volume and the GDP of the three provinces, and at the end, used the structural equation to demonstrate the promotional effect of the logistics industry on the development of the regional economy.%采用协调度模型，分别计算了东北三省的物流业与经济增长的协调度，结果表明东北三省的协调度存在差异，辽宁省近十年的协调度较高，吉林省的协调度次之，黑龙江省的协调度最低。进一步研究发现东北三省的货运量与GDP存在长期的协整关系，因果检验表明货运量是经济增长的原因，并通过构建结构方程说明物流业对地区经济发展具有推动作用。