In this paper, through reviewing the literatures on urban smart distribution and its evaluation index system, we analyzed the basic framework of the forces driving the development of the urban smart distribution system, used a variety of methods to evaluate the correlativity of the variables of the driving forces, established the corresponding variable correlation flow model and then on such basis, established the qualitative and quantitative models for the evaluation of the development competence and maturity of the urban smart distribution system.%通过对城市智能配送及其发展指标体系研究的综述,剖析了城市智慧配送体系发展动力的基本框架,利用结构方程模型原理、量表开发、问卷分析和系统动力学理论,对城市智慧配送体系发展动力变量进行了关联度评价,构建了发展动力变量关联流模型,进而在发展动力指标体系的基础上,构建了城市智慧配送体系发展能力成熟度评价的定性和定量模型。
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