基于F A－GRA模型的制造业与物流业协调发展计量分析*--以江苏两业发展为例

摘要

Logistics industry and manufacturing industry linkage development is the key projects of the economic transformation upgrade.Based on some current quantitative evaluation analysis methods,this paper proposes a new FA-GRA two-layer model to evaluate the interactive performance between the two industries.First,we assess the development level within manufacturing industry and logistics industry by factor analysis model.Then on this basis,we can obtain the correlation degree and coupling degree between the two industries during the period of 2006 -2012 by GRA model.Finally,we put forward strategies about promoting the coordinated development of manufacturing industry and logistics industry in Jiangsu Province.%制造业与物流业的联动是目前经济转型升级的重点工程。在目前多种测评方法的基础上，文中提出了一种新的FA－GRA双层模型评价方法，通过因子分析法测评两业发展水平，然后运用灰色关联模型对江苏省2006～2012年制造业与物流业的联动发展情况定量分析其发展的关联度和耦合度，最后根据结果提出了促进制造业和物流业协调发展的策略。