首页> 中文期刊> 《西安理工大学学报》 >地方政府竞争对房价上涨的影响——基于空间面板模型的实证研究

地方政府竞争对房价上涨的影响——基于空间面板模型的实证研究

         

摘要

本文基于2005-2014年全国35个大中城市的面板数据,运用探索性空间数据分析方法和空间计量模型,实证分析地方政府竞争对房价的空间溢出效应.结果表明:从全国范围来看,地方政府竞争存在显著的溢出效应,即某个地区的政府行为不仅会推动本地区的房价上涨,而且还会对相邻地区产生带动作用.从区域来看,东、中部地区内地方政府竞争对房价产生正的溢出效应,而西部地区作用不显著.从区际来看,东中、东西、中西部两两区域之间,地方政府竞争会对房价上涨产生空间溢出效应.%Based on the panel data of 35 large and medium cities in China from 2005 to 2014,this paper empirically examines the spatial spillover effect of competition among local governments on housing price by using exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial econometric model.The results show that from a national perspective,there exist significant spatial spillover effects in the competition of local governments.The competition of local governments in an area not only promotes the housing price in this region,but also promotes the housing price in other regions.From the regional perspective,the competition of local governments has a positive spillover effect on housing price in eastern and central regions,with the effect being not significant in the western region.From the inter-regional perspective,there also exist positive spillover effects between the eastern and central parts,the central and western parts,and the eastern and western parts.

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