新疆经济增长与能源消耗之间的计量分析

摘要

文章从理论和计量经济学的角度研究了新疆GDP和能源消费的动态关系，通过对GDP与能源消费格兰杰因果关系的检验，发现两者之间存在着单向因果关系，经济增长导致能源消费的增加。通过对GDP与能源消费的协整检验和建立误差修正模型，并进行计量分析，提出相关的政策建议。%The Paper analyzes the dynamic effect between GDP and energy consumption in Xinjiang. It is found from Granger Causality Tests that there is a unidirectional causality between the two factors, which shows that the economic growth will induce the increase of energy consumption. The author of the paper, based on the test, establishes error correction model (ECM) and proposes some suggestions for the policy-making.