美国页岩油勘探开发前景展望及其影响分析

摘要

对国内外页岩油的概念进行了系统分析，梳理了美国页岩油勘探开发历程，将其划分为发现阶段、认识突破阶段和快速发展阶段三个阶段。之后从剩余资源量、证实储量以及产量三个层次分析了美国页岩油产业发展的资源基础，认为美国页岩油产业具有良好的发展潜力。对美国页岩油产业的发展环境进行了分析，认为美国政府的扶持以及页岩油气潜力对国内外大量资金的吸引是美国页岩油产业在新时期发展的根本保障。最后，对美国页岩油产业的发展路径以及全球影响进行了分析和展望。%The concept of shale oil is systematically defined in the paper. The history of shale oil E&P in USA is divided into three periods including finding period, surmounting knowing period and fast development period. Based on data of remaining res-ources, proved reserves and production, a conclusion that U.S. has a big potential on shale oil production is drawn. Afterwards, the development environment of shale oil industry is analyzed. By which, government support and shale oil potential are the funda-mental guarantees of shale oil industry in the new period of development to attract a great amount of amount at home and abroad in the U.S. Finally, the future development path and global influence of shale oil industry is forecasted.