高技术服务业与制造业关联关系研究--基于组织生态学的视角

摘要

The theoretical hypothesis, which is that the high-tech service industry and the manufacturing industry are related, is put forward. Based on the collected data from high-tech service enterprises and knowledge-intensive manufacturing enterprises in Tianjin , the relationship between the high-tech service industry and the manufacturing industry from the perspective of enterprise population is demonstrated, according to the contagion model, the density dependence model and the dual density dependence model in the Organizational Ecology. The research results show that there is obvious relationship and co-evolution between the high-tech service ind-ustry and the manufacturing industry in the founding rates and population density. The founding rates and population density of high-tech service industry increase when the population density of the manufacturing industry increases. Therefore , local governments should focus on the maintenance and consolidation of the related degree of manufacturing and high-tech service industry to promote the interac-tive development of the two industries, when governments formulate policies to encourage the development of manufacturing and high-tech service industry in order to make both industries develop coordinately with a harmonious developing cycle of high-tech service in-dustry and manufacturing industry.%文章提出了高技术服务业与制造业之间存在着关联关系的理论假设，然后基于所采集到的天津市高技术服务企业和知识密集型制造企业样本数据，根据组织生态学中的传染病模型、密度依赖模型和双密度依赖模型，从企业种群的角度论证了高技术服务业与制造业之间的关联关系。研究结果表明，高技术服务业和制造业在创建率和种群密度上存在着明显的关联关系和协同演化，高技术服务业的创建率和种群密度都随着制造业种群密度的增加而增加。因此，我国各地方政府在制定鼓励制造业和高技术服务业发展的相关政策时，应把重点放在对制造业和高技术服务业关联程度的维护和巩固上，促进高技术服务业和制造业互动协调发展，形成高技术服务业与制造业互动的良性循环发展。