我国农村后义务教育的空间格局和空间效应

摘要

Based on the data of year 2002-2012 and population ratio, study on the measuring and cal-culating method for the pattern scale, we find that rural post compulsory education in China has the char-acteristics of overall poor level, spatial agglomeration and regional imbalance.The influence of income on the post compulsory education has weakened, the quantity of cultivated land has an inhibitory effect, the investment of fixed assets, the upgrading of regional industrial structure and the level of urbanization have both positive direct effect and spatial spillover effect.Coordination among regions is suggested to improve post compulsory education in rural areas, especially in the central and western China rural areas.%基于2002—2012年的面板数据,以观测值、变异系数( CV)和Moran指数为测算方法考察我国农村后义务教育的格局规模、强度及纹理,发现我国农村后义务教育空间格局存在整体偏低、空间聚集和区域间不均衡特点. 运用空间杜宾模型( SDM)分析表明,空间互动状态下农户收入对后义务教育影响弱化,耕地数量存在抑制作用,农村固定资产投资、区域产业结构升级和城市化水平对农村后义务教育具有积极的直接效应和空间溢出效应. 应强化区域间的统筹协调以推动农村特别是中西部农村后义务教育的发展.