基于事故树的拟建码头水域通航风险评估与控制

摘要

采用预先危险性分析对港口拟建码头工程水域的通航风险进行识别，利用事故树分析法找出通航风险因子并确定风险指标，通过构建风险矩阵对拟建码头工程水域的通航风险进行评价，最后根据各个风险指标提出相应的工程性缓解措施，从而为管理者提供更为合理的参考依据，使通航安全决策更为科学。%The navigation risk of proposed port wharf waters is identified by the preliminary hazard anal-ysis. The navigation risk factors are found out by using accident tree analysis and the risk indicator will be determined, to the navigation risk of proposed wharf is evaluated by constructing the risk matrix. The corre-sponding physical risk mitigation measures are put forward according to the various indicators, so as to pro-vide more reasonable reference basis for managers, the navigation safety decision-making more scientific.