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我国区域碳均衡评价及碳汇市场交易额度评估

         

摘要

本文根据我国森林资源的总量和建立在光合系数上的二氧化碳参数,对我国分省的森林碳汇和碳排放量进行了年度总量和年变化的数量评估。根据碳均衡和碳中和原则,将我国的省份分成碳汇省份、碳源省份和基本碳均衡省份。在产权明晰、初始产权分配合理、排污权交易机制不断完善的基础上,研究、分析、评估了我国低碳经济转型中碳汇交易市场的建立、交易额度、定价机制和均衡过程,为我国在节能减排、新能源替代和碳均衡三大机制中实现新经济、新分配、新效果提供了帮助,也为我国在国际碳交易的博弈中取得了经验,并为应对世界性的气候变化和低碳转型作出了理论的和实际的贡献。%According to the total amount of forest resources and the carbon dioxide parameters from the pho-tosynthetic coefficient,this paper evaluates the annual total amount and annual variation of the forest carbon se-questration and carbon emissions in different provinces of China. Based on the carbon balance principle and car-bon neutral principle, China’s provinces are divided into carbon sequestration provinces, carbon sources provinces and carbon equilibrium provinces. Considering clearly established ownership, the reasonable distribution of initial property rights, and the gradually perfected mechanism of emission rights trading, this paper also examines and analyzes the establishment of carbon sequestration trading market, the transaction amount, the pricing mechanism and the equilibrium process in China’s low-carbon economy transformation.Our study is helpful to the realization of new economy, new distribution and new effects in the three mechanisms of energy saving, new energy substitu-tion and carbon balance, and makes a theoretical and practical contribution for China to getting experience in the world carbon trading competition and for the world to coping with climate change and low-carbon transformation.

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