At the base of provinces innovation behavior data in China in 2012, this paper tries to: firstly construct regional innovation capability evaluation index system, and then, use statistical methods to get the synthetical index of the regional innovation capability, and finally by using the method of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy dynamic programming model, forecast and plan the regional innovative capability of Henan province.The results have shown that Henan province is still on the lowest e1 stage of innovation capability, and it is poor at innovation output, innovation efficient, and innovation transformation.But if the government make efforts on innovation, it would be possible to be lift to e2 phase in five years.%以2012年中国各省区创新行为的相关数据为基础,通过构建区域创新能力综合评价指标体系,利用统计学方法测算各区域的创新能力综合指数值.在此基础上建立区间直觉模糊动态规划模型,并对河南省的区域创新能力发展进行预测和规划.研究结果表明:河南省目前还处于创新能力最低的e1阶段,在创新成果产出、创新效率、创新成果转化方面都存在问题,若政府加强创新领域的建设,在5年时间内可达到创新能力较高的e2阶段.
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