成都市旅游气候舒适度年内变化与景区客流的相关性

摘要

气候舒适度直接影响到旅游季节的长短及客流量的年内变化.该文利用1992年至2012年气候资料，并结合石象湖、都江堰和西岭雪山三个代表性景区的客流统计，对成都市客流量月指数与气候舒适度的相关性进行了分析.结果显示，作为本地市民游憩对象的石象湖月指数气候弹性系数为1.91％；外地游客占据很大比重的都江堰月指数气候弹性系数为1.27％；而以冬季滑雪为主的西岭雪山则没有表现出与气候舒适度之间的相关性.这些结果及以后进一步的研究可以为成都市旅游发展政策和措施的制定，以及旅游景区规划提供科学依据.%The climate comfortable degree directly affects the length of the tourist season and the yearly varia-tion of tourists. This paper,by using the climate data in the past twenty years,makes a comment on the relation-ship between the climate comfortable degree and the yearly variation of domestic tourists. The result shows:as for the local scenic spots,Shixiang Lakeˊs monthly index of climatic coefficient of elasticity is 1. 91% ;Dujiangyan, which the domestic tourists take a large part,its monthly index is 1. 27% ;and Mt. Xilin,which attracts tourists with its special skiing activities,doesnˊt appear correlative relationship between the yearly variation of climate comfortable degree and monthly index. This study provides some scientific basis for Chengdu to formulate the tourism policy,the development of tourism resources,and the plan of the scenic spots.