公共服务的财政投入促进了农村社会发展吗?*--基于江苏（2010-2014）面板数据的量化研究

摘要

是否具备健全的公共服务体系直接影响到基层社会的稳定和社会发展的质量，而公共财政经费投入的高低则直接影响城乡公共服务供给的非均衡性，因而有必要对农村公共服务的财政投入与其社会发展是否具备线性关系分开来看。文章基于正逆向指标以及 FAM的分析法，借助于江苏省内苏北、苏中、苏南等区域的部分农村在2010—2014年的面板数据，分析了江苏农村公共服务财政投入经费与社会发展之间是否存在耦合关系进行实证检验，进而理顺及分析农村公共服务财政投入对社会发展的影响和存在的可能原因。研究认为：纠正财政经费的投入方向、调整与优化财政转移支付结构的责权利和健全基层政府的财力保障机制等有助于农村公共服务的有效供给和社会的健康发展，这也是实现治理现代化的动力所在。%The unbalanced development of rural public services results in heterogeneity of rural social development,while the funding of public finances have directly impact on non-equilibrium level of public services in rural areas,it is necessary to research integrated finance public services in rural areas into social development.The paper based on regular,reverse indicators and FAM,aiding by 2010—2014 panel data of sample cities in northern,the Central & southern Jiangsu,and constructing a model of coupling relationship between rural public service financial investment funds and social development to empirical test,and then straighten the Positive effect of financial investment in rural public services on the social development.With regards to this,by increasing financial investment funds,rationalize the relationship between rural and urban distribution of finances,adj usting and optimizing the fiscal transfer payment system ,in order to achieve effective supply of rural public services, thereby to make the further development of rural society aimed at achieving the modernization of rural governance.