日益严重的"碳锁定效应"对当前碳减排工作提出了新的挑战.如何突破传统的碳减排理念,探索有效的解锁路径已经成为区域经济社会可持续发展所面临的重要课题.本文通过梳理碳锁定和产业碳锁定相关文献,从区域的视角,通过测算2004~2016年间中国和西北5省碳排放量数据和产业结构发展的状况,并测算各区域碳排放与产业发展间的关联度,发现中国碳排放量与产业结构间的关联关系依次为二三一的结构,然而西北5省碳排放量与产业结构间的关系并不同于全国.其中陕西和甘肃呈现出与全国相同的关联关系,而青海和新疆则呈现出三二一的现象,宁夏则呈现出一三二的关联关系.%The increasingly serious carbon lock-in effect poses a new challenge to the current work of carbon reduction. How to break through the traditional concept of carbon emission reduction and explore the effective unlocking path has become the urgent task for the sustainable development of regional economic and society. This article, from the perspective of regional, based on the KAYA model, through measuring the energy consumption and carbon emission characteristics of China and the five Northwestern Provinces in 2004-2016. And then uses the grey correlation analysis method, to measure the correlation between regional carbon e-missions and industrial development, finds that: the relationship between China's carbon emissions and industrial structure present"231", however, the relationship of carbon emissions and the industrial structure of the Five Northwestern Provinces is not the same. Among them, Shanxi and Gansu have the same relationship with the whole country, while Qinghai and Xinjiang show a rela-tionship of "321", and Ningxia presents "132".
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