本文基于农户生计脆弱分析框架，采用湖北省松滋、汉川、孝昌、阳新四县市的调研横截面数据，分析了农村高龄家庭生计现状，并应用基于消费期望与消费方差的脆弱性分析方法，对农村高龄家庭的生计脆弱性进行了分析。研究结果表明：农村高龄计划生育家庭生计现状与生计能力整体优于高龄非计划生育家庭，且计划生育家庭对于养老比非计划生育家庭更具有规划性。%The research on vulnerability originates in the disaster sciences, now it is widely used in the social sciences, and few researchers concern the livelihood vulnerability of households with family planning. This paper had a comparative study on the livelihood vulnerability of elderly households with family planning and elderly households without family planning in rural area based on the survey data of four counties of Hubei province, which is Songzi, Hanchuan, Xiaochang, Yangxin. The households' characteristics were selected according to the five types of capital; the livelihood vulnerability of households estimated by the variance and expectation of households' consumption. The result showed that: the livelihood capabilities of elderly households with family planning are better than the ones of elderly households without family planning and elderly households with family planning have more planning ideas than the ones without family planning on their old-age care.
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