中日贸易潜力及其走势分析

摘要

Analyzing and grasping the development of trade potential and trends between China and Japanese have important theoretical and practical significance to promote the Sino-Japanese political and economic development .With the use of calculation method of trade data and index , this paper analyzes the status quo and trade commodity structure between China and Japan , RTA index, TCI index, trade and investment Intensity in-dex.The results shows that the trade commodity structure between China and Japan has the same height resistance, the higher the proportion of intra-industry trade, the huge trade potential, rise and expansion tend of trade movements to rise.Strengthening economic and trade relations between the two countries are conducive to better play on the comparative advantages and economic win -win situation.%分析和掌握中日贸易的发展潜力及其走势，对于改善和推动中日两国政治经济的发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。通过运用贸易数据和指数测算相结合的方法，对中日贸易的现状和贸易商品结构、RTA指数、TCI指数、贸易和投资结合度指数进行测算分析，结果表明中日贸易商品结构具有高度的相同性，产业内贸易比重较高，两国之间的贸易潜力巨大，贸易走势趋于上升扩大。加强中日经贸关系有利于更好地发挥两国的比较优势和经贸共赢。