从预测到预见：技术预见对区域经济发展的影响研究

摘要

准确预测和判断经济发展的未来走向关乎一个地区经济发展活力和竞争力。技术预见作为一种比技术预测更具前瞻性和目标性的理性认识论工具，它对区域产业政策制定、科技资源配置、产业结构调整、产业集群发展、创新系统效率提升等发面有着重要影响。分析技术预见对区域经济发展的影响，将为不同地区探寻适合本地实际的产业发展路径提供借鉴和帮助。%Accurate prediction of the economic development future is related to regional economic development vitality and competitiveness. Compared with technology forecasting,technology foresight,a more prospective and targeted reasonable instrument,has a great effect on industrial policy making,allocation of scientific and technological resources,industrial structural adjustment,development of industrial clusters and efficiency improvement of innovation system. The analysis of the influence of technology foresight to regional economic development,will help different areas find a suitable industry development path under the local conditions.