以苏南地区南京、镇江、常州、无锡、苏州为研究单元,以2005—2013年物流业和经济发展为测度指标,采用耦合协调度模型和探索性空间数据分析、功效函数、标准差、变异系数等统计方法,利用地理分析软件ArcView GIS和GeoDA,从时空角度,研究了该区域物流业与经济发展协调性分异及其演变特征. 结果发现:苏南五市经济与物流业一直高速发展,其协调性稳步提高,同时它们在不同城市差异明显,呈两头高、中间低的"哑铃"形分布态势;协调度在全局空间上自相关性不显著,但有异质性小、离散性特点和稳定发展趋势,在局部空间上有显著自相关性,但随着时间发展,呈现一定弱化,表明中心城市的辐射带动功能不强,区域一体化趋弱.%Taking cities in southern Jiangsu including Nanjing, Zhenjiang, Changzhou, Wuxi, and Suzhou as the research units,the paper analyzed the spatial and temporal variation and the evolution coupling coordination between logistics and economy in this area.GDP and the added value of transportation,storage and postal services from 2005 to 2013 are taken as measurement indexes,methods such as coupling coordina-tion degree model, spatial autocorrelation, efficacy function, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation are employed,and software like ArcGIS and GeoDA is used.The study showed,although logistics and econ-omy of cities in southern Jiangsu are developing at a high speed and the coordination between them enhances steadily,significant differences exist among different cities,namely,the cities on the two wings of southern Jiangsu have better performance than cities in the middle,forming a dumbbell-style distribution pattern.The global spatial autocorrelation of the coordination degree is insignificant but with a discrete heterogeneity and a stable development trend.The local spatial autocorrelation is significant but with a weakening trend as time goes on.Consequently,it indicates that the radiating function of the middle cities is weak,and regional inte-gration is not a close goal to reach.
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