我国独生子女及失独家庭规模估计--基于第六次人口普查数据的分析

摘要

Based on the data of the sixth population census, this paper analyses the only child information from the mothers’families and fathers’families who have been widowed or divorced. The paper estimates not only the quan⁃tity of only-child population and the only-child-loss families but also the regional distribution by means of the mother inferential method. It is of great significance to accurately estimate the quantity of only-child population and the only-child-loss families in order to adjust the birth policy and improve the supportive policy for on⁃ly-child-loss families.%以第六次人口普查资料为基础数据，深入挖掘母亲家庭和丧偶、离婚的父亲家庭中独生子女信息，运用母亲推算法对历年独生子女和失独家庭总量及区域分布进行估计。对我国独生子女及失独家庭规模进行有效估计，对完善失独家庭扶助政策意义重大。