安徽省物流产业集聚对制造业发展的影响--基于市级面板数据分析

摘要

产业集聚已经成为增强区域产业竞争力和经济活力的关键，物流产业集聚能够降低物流成本，促进区域经济发展。基于1998－2013年安徽省16个地级市面板数据计算了我省的物流产业集聚度，在此基础上分析了物流产业集聚的发展特征以及物流产业集聚度对制造业发展的影响。实证分析结果表明物流产业集聚的发展存在空间结构性，三大物流区域集聚程度存在差异性。物流产业集聚对制造业影响显著，集聚水平越高，贡献度越大。安徽物流产业集聚要形成合理的空间布局、注重与制造业的协调发展、加强创新和信息化建设。%Industrial agglomeration has become a key to enhance industrial competitiveness and economic vitali-ty.The agglomeration of logistics industry can reduce logistics costs and promote the economic development of the regional economy.Based on the panel data of 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui between 1998-2013,the paper first calculates the agglomeration of the province’ s logistics industry, then analyzes the characteristics and impact of the agglomeration of logistics industry on manufacturing industry.The empirical results show that the agglomeration of logistics industry can be spatially defined, and the three major zones of the agglomeration of lo-gistics industry are different.The agglomeration of logistics industry has a significant impact on manufacturing in-dustry;the higher the agglomeration level, the greater the contribution.As for the agglomeration of logistics in-dustry in Anhui province, a reasonable spacial layout should be formed, the development of manufacturing indus-tries and logistics industries coordinated, and innovation and information technology strengthened.