基于灰色理论的矿井涌水量预测

摘要

针对顾桥矿南二采区区域水文地质条件，利用灰色理论，建立GM （1，1）模型，并结合最小二乘法对其进行求解，得出研究区域内2013年各时期的矿井涌水量值，从而对矿井涌水量进行动态观测，为矿井开拓方案、开采方法、制定防治水措施等提供可靠依据。%According to region hydrogeological condition of South II Mining Area ,Guqiao Colliery ,GM (1 ,1) Model has been set up and mine water inflow of each period of 2013 has been obtained by grey theory and least square method ,which provided reliable basis for mine development plan ,mining method and the formulation of water control measures ,etc .