日本对华直接投资对中国经济发展影响研究

摘要

日本对华直接投资对中国的经济发展起到了重要的推动作用.日本对华直接投资可划分为全面启动、合作深化、调整转型三个时期,具有以制造业为主、集中于东部沿海地区等特点.通过国际经济学理论分析,运用回归与ARMA组合模型、格兰杰因果关系检验等实证分析方法,认为日本对华直接投资对中国经济的主要作用有:促进中国产业升级转型、拉动中日贸易发展、通过技术溢出效应提高中国技术水平.中国应加强引导日本对华直接投资,提升日本对华直接投资质量,助力中国经济结构转型.%Japans direct investment in China has played an important role in promoting Chinas economic development.Japans direct investment in China can be divided into three phases:full start-up,deepening of cooperation,and adjustment and transformation.It is mainly focused on the manufacturing sector and on the eastern coastal areas.Through an analysis of international economic theories,using the empirical method of regARMA combination model and Granger causality test,we found that Japans direct invest-ment in China had the following effects on Chinese economy:(1)promoting Chinese industrial upgrading, (2)pushing the development of Sino-Japanese trade,and (3)generating a technology spillover effect in China which improved the technology level of China.China should strengthen its efforts to guide Japans direct investment in China and enhance the quality of Japans direct investment in China,so as to contrib-ute to the restructuring of Chinese economy.