第三产业与居民消费价格指数相关性分析——以商丘市为例

摘要

2006-2015年10年间商丘市生产总值大幅增加,产业结构有所调整,二三产业发展迅速,尤其是第三产业增长迅速,2015年比重约达40％.另一方面由于商丘市经济的发展,居民消费价格指数也发生变化.为了研究商丘市第三产业的发展与居民消费价格指数的关系,使产业发展更加合理,本研究利用线性回归的方法,并通过相关系数的检验,得出二者之间的关联.结果显示,2006-2015年第三产业的发展与居民消费价格指数之间存在正相关关系且基本同步协调.基于居民消费价格指数持续上升的情况,提出优化第三产业发展的建议.%GDP of Shangqiu city increased significantly from 2006 to 2015,the industrial structure was adjusted,and the socond or third industry developed rapidly,especially the third industry was growed rapidly in 2015 with the proportion of about 40％.On the other hand,due to the development of Shangqiu' s economy,the consumer price index also changed.In order to study the relationship on the change and development of the third industry in Shangqiu,the consumer price index and make the development of industry became more reasonable,the linear regression method was used in this study and the correlation coefficient was tested.Finally the correlation bewteen the two was arrived.The results showed that there was a positive correlation between the development of the third industry and the consumer price index from 2006 to 2015 and displayed the basic synchronization and coordination.Based on the continuous rising of the consumer price index,this research put forward some suggestions to optimize the development of the third industry.