基于广义灰色关联分析的海陆产业关联度研究

摘要

Marine-land Industrial association development is an important strategy of the extraction of marine-land dual economic structure to the marine -land industries association .This paper select generalized grey incidence model in order to resovle the question about the industrial relevance be‐tween the mine marine industries and GDP ,the land industries ,the results showed:marine industries have strong relationship with the land second and third industries ,while the marine industries have the characteristics of great relevance ,strong penetration ,radiation wide .According to the results ,this paper proposed some policies ,like strengthening the management of marine and land department ,en‐hance to the ability of marine-land industrial association ,taking the sustainable development as the principle w hile marine-land industrial association ,so as to achieve the optimal balance of marine and land industrial association ,to make the w hole national economy highly improve .%海陆产业联动发展是我国由海陆二元经济向海陆一体化发展的重要战略。运用广义灰色关联分析方法，结合2001－2012年统计数据，计算出主要海洋产业与国民生产总值以及陆域三次产业的灰色综合关联度。结果显示：我国海洋产业与陆域第二、三产业关联性强，同时海洋产业具有关联度大、渗透力强、辐射面宽的特点。据此提出加强海陆产业管理部门的统筹与协调、增强海陆产业联动发展能力、海陆产业联动发展要以可持续发展为原则的政策建议，从而实现海陆产业关联的最优平衡，使整个国民经济产生1＋1＞2的效果。