牧户生计策略选择研究——以黄河源区沙曲河口玛曲段为例

摘要

针对黄河源区沙曲河口-玛曲段牧户,采用PRA调查法,利用调查问卷获取牧户生计资本信息.基于可持续生计分析框架,构建了牧户生计资本评价指标作为自变量;将牧户生计活动类型划分为草地依赖型和多样化型作为因变量.运用Logistic回归模型对牧户生计策略选择与生计资本指标之间的关系进行了回归分析.结果表明:生计活动能力、资金筹措渠道指标分别在1%,5%的显著性水平上对牧户采取多样化型生计活动具有正面影响,劳动能力、草地规模、草地质量、家庭住房、年收入、亲戚数量和可信任的人指标对牧户采取多样化型生计活动影响不显著.%The herdsman sample in Shaqu estuary-Maqu segment in Yellow River source region was selected to survey the information related to livelihood capital by using PRA tools.And then,based on the analytical framework for sustainable livelihood,the evaluation indictor system was set up (livelihood capital as independent variable,the livelihood activities of herdsman are categorized into grassland-dependent type and diverse type,as dependent variable).The relationship between herdsman livelihood strategy choice and livelihood capital indicators was analyzed through Logistic regression models.The results indicated that the indicator of livelihood activity,material assets,financing channels showed a positive impact for herdsman to select diversification of livelihood activities at the 1% and 5% significance level;the indicator of ability to work,pasture size,pasture quality,family house,annual income,numbers of relatives and trusted person had no significant effect for herdsman to select diversification of livelihood activities.