基于时间序列的变形监测数据处理方法比较研究

摘要

本文首先对时间序列的一些基本原理进行介绍，详细阐述了简单移动平均法、加权移动平均法、趋势移动平均法等方法。结合实测的基坑测斜数据进行分析、预测，比较三种不同模型的预测精度，表明趋势移动平均法在基坑测斜数据处理中具有最好的拟合性。%In this process , we will first introduce some basic principles of time series and elaborated on the method of simple moving average, method of moving weighted average , method of trend moving average .Combined with the measured pit inclinometer data a-nalysis, forecasting, comparing three different kinds of model prediction accuracy .