绵阳市涪城区近十年土地利用动态监测及分析

摘要

近年来绵阳市土地利用变化现象表现十分明显，但缺乏比较深入的研究。本文根据绵阳市涪城区2000年和2010年的土地利用变化动态监测数据，利用CA－Markov模型对2020年的土地利用空间格局进行预测，并对引起该区土地利用变化的驱动力进行分析。%As the second largest city in Sichuan Province, relying on its strong research ability and the special status of the national three-line construction, the economic development of Mianyang has been growing rapidly since the reform and opening up.There-fore, the performance of land-use change is very obvious, but there is a lack of depth research.This paper has a study of dynamic monitoring to land-use change of Fucheng District of Mianyang between 2000 and 2010.Then we can forecast the spatial pattern of land use for 2020 by the CA-Markov model and analyze the driving force of this study area's Land-use change.