我国电力消费与经济增长关系实证研究

摘要

运用格兰杰因果关系检验和协整分析，对我国1980—2011年间全社会用电量和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明，我国电力消费与国民经济增长之间存在协整关系，在此基础上建立了向量误差修正模型，强化了电力消费对GDP预测的准确性。%　　The paper adopted method of co-integration test built by Engle-Granger to analyze the relationship between China’s electric power consumption and economic growth from 1980 to 2011. Co-integration relationship had been shown between China’s electric power consumption and economic growth. And then the paper established the vector error correction model, which would strengthen the accuracy of using the power consumption to forecast GDP.