灰色关联分析法在油库事故分析中的应用

摘要

Aiming at the problem that the precision of quantitative analysis about consequences of oil depot accidents is not high,the grey relational analysis theory was used in semi-quantitative analysis on consequences of the oil tank accident. A mathematicalmodel about grey relational analysis was built. Through scoring cases of depot accident consequences, the sequence of characteristicbehavior system was determined. Through comprehensive analysis of evaluation indicators (factors) system about depot security, thesequence of relative behavior system was determined. Through the grey relational analysis, the conclusion matching with reality wasobtained.%针对油库事故后果量化分析精度不高的问题,提出利用灰色理论的灰色关联分析来对油库事故后果进行半定量分析.构建了灰色关联分析的数学模型；通过对油库事故案例的事故后果打分,确定了系统特征行为序列；通过对影响油库安全的评价指标(因素)体系的综合分析,确定了相关因素行为序列；通过灰色关联分析,得出了与实际相符的结论.