引言间歇过程广泛存在于工业生产领域,如化工、半导体生产等领域[1].与连续过程相比,间歇过程自动化水平较低,涉及更多的手动操作,容易发生误操作,进而导致灾难性的后果[2].因此预先分析可能发生的误操作导致的后果,有利于工厂有针对性地采取措施,有效避免将导致危害的误操作的发生或降低这些误操作带来的危害.%Mal-operation is one of important factors that lead to disaster in chemical processes. Batch processes with a lower level of automation require many manual operations. These manual operations make increased occurrence of mal-operation possible. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the effects of mal-operation on the batch process so that protective measures can be effectively taken. To achieve this aim, a novel consequence analysis strategy for mal-operation in the batch processes was proposed. Qualitative models of manual operation, production process, and environment were constructed by using the concept of qualitative simulation. These models could describe the batch process more satisfactorily. Qualitative model of environment and every qualitative model describing the production process, such as a qualitative model of pump or reactor, had the faculty of inference, which enabled these models to update their states and infer whether some hazards would occur by themselves when an operation was being dealt with. A batch process that produced vulcanization accelerator called M was modeled, and three wrong operating procedures were analyzed. The results showed that not only adverse consequences but also evolution of abnormal states in the batch process caused by mal-operation could be analyzed by using the proposed method.
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