浅析计划生育政策调整对我国卫生服务需求的影响

摘要

The Chinese new family planning policy (comprehensive two-child) had implemented from 2016.As the wide coverage of family-planning policy adjustment and the big change of policy adjustment,population growth will increase.Number of population is most important factor to determine the demand of health services,so the increases of population number could inevitably lead to increases of health services utilization.Based on the characteristics of the demand of health services and exploring the influence of demographic factors on the changes of health service demand,this study scientifically analyzed the impacting scope and degree of population change on the demand of health services in the future,and raised the main strategies,and provided evidences for correctly forecasting demand of health services increases and security of supply.%我国2016年开始实施“全面二孩”计划生育政策,因政策调整覆盖率高,调整结果较以前有很大变化,人口增速必将加大.人口数量是决定卫生服务需求最重要的因素,人口数量的增加必然导致卫生服务利用的增加.本文从卫生服务需求的特点出发,在研究人口因素对卫生服务需求变化影响关系的基础上,分析未来我国人口变化对卫生服务需求的影响范围及程度,并提出主要应对策略,为正确预测卫生服务需求的增长及保障供给提供参考依据.