建立CRH2型动车组系统及其走行子系统、牵引传动子系统、制动子系统、高压电器子系统、辅助供电子系统以及网络控制子系统的故障树,在此基础上运用蒙特卡洛方法和MATLAB软件,对动车组的可靠性进行仿真分析.结果表明:基于故障树分析的蒙特卡洛仿真方法能快速、准确地计算动车组整车的可靠性;当动车组各基本部件发生故障的概率服从指数分布时,整个动车组系统发生故障的概率也服从指数分布；动车组最重要的3个分系统依次为空气供给分系统、接地保护开关和高压设备箱分系统以及牵引传动分系统.%The fault trees of the CRH2 EMU system as well as its subsystems of running, traction drive, braking, high voltage apparatus, auxiliary power supply and network control were established. On that basis, Monte Carlo method and MATLAB software were applied to simulate and analyze the reliability of the EMU. The results indicate that, Monte Carlo simulation method which is based on fault tree analysis, can rapidly and accurately calculate the reliability of the whole EMU. If the fault probabilities of EMU various basic components obey exponential distribution, then does the fault probability of the whole EMU system. The three most important partial systems of the EMU are, in order, the air supply partial system, the grounding protection switch and high voltage equipment box partial system and traction drive partial system.
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