基于德尔菲专家咨询法的数字化X线摄影核心技术成熟度评估

摘要

Objective To assess the maturity of key digital radiography technology and provide the basis for the procurement and R&D of medical equipment.Methods According to Delphi method, literature survey and experts scoring method, research on the maturity of the key digital radiography technology was conducted. Results After two rounds of mail survey and site investigation, 22 key technologies was drawn on the S-Curve by experts scoring. And the maturity assessment of key technology was done.Conclusion Determined by Delphi method, the technology maturity could provide the technology development trend and a basis for all decision makers.%目的：评估当前数字化X线摄影核心技术的成熟度，为医院设备采购、企业研发提供依据。方法通过德尔菲专家咨询法、文献调查法和专家现场打分法对数字化X线摄影核心技术的成熟度进行研究。结果经过2轮邮件调查和现场调查，得出22项数字化X线摄影核心技术并通过专家打分描绘在技术发展S曲线上，完成了核心技术的成熟度评估工作。结论利用德尔菲专家咨询等方法确定的技术成熟度曲线提供了技术发展的趋势，为医院设备采购、企业研发等提供依据。